Real estate for many years seemed like a Teflon sector – moving towards greater heights with every passing year
unaffected by everything which happened in other industries. Unlike other assets where investors evaluated entry price to the nearest fraction before making a decision, real estate seemed to be exempt from the golden rules of investment. The past two – three years have shown us that the relative de-coupling of the sector no longer exists. Since returns have become more to scale so has the mad rush to invest in the sector.
Over these few years, as affordability declined, home sales followed suit. Project delays and lack of regulation led to erosion of buyer confidence. In previous years, buyers thought of not one but more houses as a safe haven for capital appreciation – as should be clear now, this is no longer the case.
Regulations such as RERA, GST, and the Amendment in Benami Transactions Act which sought t o correct the anomalies in the sector, helped restore buyer confidence too. However, they also caused some disruptions for the operational and financial stability of some players. The changes essentially encouraged financial discipline and ushered in greater accountability and transparency. People who lacked the required discipline had to resort to high yield refinance to get things in order. As buyers exercised their right to opt out of projects which developers had delayed, recovery – especially with high coupon debt became more challenging. With the NBFC crisis, another reliable source of funds dried up.
All this combined has made funds for investment in real estate scarcer. Land was often considered the only raw material for real estate growth. But as things have progressed capital is proving why it is one of the only two basic factors of production (the other being labour).
The question on everyone’s mind: What’s the solution?
When dealing with a sector as large and important as real estate – no single player can move the needle. The entire ecosystem needs to take the onus of financing recovery on itself.
The government is doing its part and has already announced a host of measures to put the economy as well real estate sector back on track.
Recently it announced an INR 20,000 crore fund to help developers complete projects that are stalled due to last mile cash shortage. Since RERA has already helped restore buyer confidence – we have seen that home sales recove ring since 2018. A look at the top seven cities reveals housing sales are up from 96,358 in 2017, to 136, 518 in 2018, a growth of 41 percent. In H1 2019 residential real estate stood at 78,427, a Y-o-Y growth of 22 percent.
The government has also provided relief to NBFCs by infusing an additional INR 10,000 crore in NBFCs. If developers focus on incentivising sales by passing on the recent tax benefit, then sales could go up even further.
Projects and developers which have shown consistent improvement need to be given additional time to repay debt or restructure their loans. Further, funding from government fund could help. This will help revive construction of projects and faster delivery. Projects of developers who are not financially viable need to be taken over by NBFC and transferred to other devel opers.
Other players need to invest in the recovery as well.
Institutional funds can come in: There is enough interest from international PE fund for this distressed equity, if NBFCs and HFCs are willing to take a haircut on their loans. New sources of capital could come from distressed asset funds and private equity funds.
The industry may not mentally be ready for distressed investing. But if some such deals happen in the future – it could pave the way for recovery. PE firms and distressed funds are after all, mean to be premium sources of capital. When they make investments at the right numbers – it signals confidence in the system.
The way ahead
Money is still available to people who know how to manage it. No one is willing to throw good money after bad. There is a clear distinction between people who want to and can do business in the right way and who cannot. This is in a sense the new normal. Quality and consistency trumps all else.
Increased completion of projects, improvement in economic growth and lower interest cycles will increase the sales momentum and provide much needed long term finance for projects. This could also help to reduce debt thereby improving NBFC and overall market position.
SKA Group offers possessions for SKA Metro Ville towers, Aster and Orchid
Noida: NCR-based realty player SKA Group announced that it is giving possessions for its housing society project, SKA Metro Ville....
MAPIC India ties up with NCR realty firm: CRC Group becomes Associate Partner
MAPIC India Awards was held with significant participation from retailers in Mumbai on September 14-15, 2022. in association with CRC...
Xanadu Realty collaborates with Raheja Universal for Raheja Exotica at Madh
Mumbai, September 26, 2022: Xanadu Realty, has partnered with Raheja Universal to unveil a new phase of their project at...
NAREDCO Vidarbha sets the trend for structured real estate development
Nagpur, September 26, 2022: The National Real Estate Development Council (NAREDCO) Vidarbha chapter commenced activities with the aim of ensuring transparency and...
Bhutani Grandthum offers deals for customers this festive season
Noida: Bhutani Grandthum has announced a deal, “Pay 100 & Get 100”, to give the best investment opportunities to the...
Nearly 50% homebuyers expect property price hike: Housing.com-NAREDCO survey
New Delhi, September 26, 2022: Real estate continues to be the preferred asset class for investment and nearly 50 per cent...
Developers Speak4 weeks ago
Why the Indian Brokerage Industry needs investment in training capabilities
News4 weeks ago
Two newly appointed Members of UP RERA to hear the cases from the regional office
Report4 weeks ago
Over 45 Data Centres spanning ~13 mn sq ft to boot up in India by 2025-end
New Launches4 weeks ago
Zolo’s luxury Co-living space, Zolo Triloha
Developers Speak2 weeks ago
Chandni Chowk at the Centrepiece in tune with the wave of Commercialisation
Developers Speak2 weeks ago
Festive season to spurt bookings: Experts
News4 weeks ago
Retail leasing up 166% Y-o-Y in H1 2022
News4 weeks ago
Property prices to rise 27-30% annually post MOPA Airport in North Goa: 360 Realtors