The following is the report by Anuj Puri, Chairman & Country Head at JLL India
As the Modi Government completes its first year in office, there is no dearth of bouquets and brickbats for the NaMo regime in the media. On analysing the Modi Government’s electoral assurances, the actions taken so far and the respective timelines being followed to achieve these, I would say that it is reasonably on track with fulfilling its short-term, medium-term and long-term promises.
Importantly, the continuation of the previous government’s policies like the Land Acquisition and Rehabilitation and Resettlement (LARR) Bill, Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Bill will have a significant impact on the real estate industry once these are passed by the Parliament. India’s historically opaque real estate sector will move towards more transparency with the introduction and implementation of these key policies.
It is worthwhile to reflect on the grassroots-level transformation we can expect to see when:
· Millions of homebuyers in towns and cities and farmers across the country (the latter being landowners affected by infrastructure projects) are empowered with the clauses in the real estate regulatory bill and LARR
· Investment opportunities in office spaces open up for small retail investors thanks to REITs
· The quality of life of millions of Indian citizens is upgraded when the proposed 100 smart and sustainable cities come to life.
· ‘Benami’ transactions, which have for the longest time been a bane of the real estate sector, are eliminated
Let us take a look at the progress on some of the promises Narendra Modi’s party made in its electoral manifesto. Specifically, we will isolate promises which have a direct bearing on enhanced governance and reinforced democratic fundamentals, which are important for India’s development and future readiness:
Promises On Track
Transparency: Re-auctioning of coal blocks earned the government huge revenues
Efficiency: Real-time effort towards rendering the existing institutional frameworks more efficient; a good example being the change in Food Corporation of India’s food procurement and storage mechanisms.
Productivity And Accountability: Narendra Modi has been directly involved in monitoring and raising the productivity as well as efficiency of his ministry officials. He is clearly bucking a chronic trend of bureaucratic unavailability and aiming to increase public access to government officials
Black Money: The Black Money Bill has given a moratorium period to bring back unaccounted money into the system by paying normal tax. The ongoing dialogue with the Swiss financial authorities to disclose secret accounts of Indians abroad is reaping results
Corruption: Wired (online) transactions are now being encouraged for property transactions. This is a major step forward for curtailing black money in the sector
Investor Confidence: Market confidence has improved with the strengthening of the Indian equity, debt, currency markets and equal tax regime that was promised to both domestic as well as international investment companies
Positioning India: Via a series of international tours, the PM is helping India rid itself of its anti-investor image and is opening up new avenues of foreign business in India, especially under the ‘Make in India’ campaign
Decentralization And Cooperative Governance
· Gradual increase in the financial autonomy of states
· Farmers get real-time information on Minimum Support Price through digital channels and Kisan TV. Drastic price movements have been largely under control. A focus on citizen outreach programmes as well as leveraging social media has bought people closer to the governance process.
Promises That May See Progress Soon
· States with similar problems will be able to form councils under Niti Aayog to discuss common concerns
· Niti Aayog, along with other national agencies, will help individual states in mobilisation of resources.
Promises That Saw Little Or No Progress
· Relaxing clauses in the Land Acquisition and Rehabilitation and Resettlement Bill (LARR), Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) policies that investors find difficult to follow
· Increased credit facilitation to start-ups
· Initiation of employment exchange programmes with other countries
· Obsolete laws to be scrapped or modified
· Online dissemination of court cases for better monitoring and creation of specialised courts to fast-track delivery of justice.
In short, the Modi Government has a fairly balanced list of hits and misses so far. The trend does seem to lean more towards action than inaction. It definitely seems that Modi has every intention of living up to the larger part of his electoral promises in the future. I agree with Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan when he says that the expectations from the new government when it came to power last year were ‘probably unrealistic’, and that it has in fact taken steps to create an environment for investment and is sensitive to concerns of investors.
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